Thursday, February 7, 2008

The partisan divide

Many people talk about enthusiasm in the Presidential race today and talk about how Democrats are more excited about their candidates than Republicans are. The numbers from across the country seem to agree with that. During the Super Tuesday semi-national primary, 14.6 million Democrats went to the polls. When you compare that to the 9 million Republicans who went to the polls and then look at the number of Red States that voted ( 13 out of 22) and it becomes clear that the Republicans don't really like their candidates. With Romney suspending his campaign, fiscal conservatives now have no candidate to turn to and it will be interesting to see if the enthusiasm on the Republican side goes even lower.

Democrats certaintly have something to cheer about in the wake of Super Tuesday. With huge cash on hand advatages and a slew of great candidates at the lower levels on the ballot. Added enthusiasm for the Presidential candidates is just another rung on the ladder to victory.

OR-5: Darlene Hooley Retiring

From a diary on SSP, Rep. Darlene Hooley (D-OR) is retiring:
OR-05 is a D+1 district. Hooley has represented it since 1996 (when she beat Jim Bunn, one of the more aberrant members of the Class of 94). She's a New Dem, and somewhat to the right of the Dem caucus's midpoint with a Progressive Punch score in the low 80s.
Check out the diary for information on who's running for the GOP and who might run on the Dem side. Hopefully our DCCC cash advantage and the rising blue tide helps us win this the way we held OH-06 last year.

Rasmussen shows tie

Rasmussen shows the opposite result from Gallup, a 44%/44% tie between Clinton and Obama. Meanwhile, McCain opened up a big 10% lead (39 % vs. 29% for Romney. As expected, now that McCain is the frontrunner, all the GOP sheep are hopping aboard the More War Express.

And apparently Rasmussen’s no longer reporting Bush’s approval on a daily basis - seems they’ve switched to weekly. Seems like an obvious move due to Bush’s rapidly growing irrelevency, but I wish they would have announced it officially.

Scary lead for Clinton

Today's Daily Gallup Tracking Poll is showing a 52-39 lead for Clinton. This is probably due to the press she gets for winning California, plus undecideds who made up their mind to vote for Hillary last Tuesday in CA, NY, NJ, MA. This is not a good trend and hopefully Saturday gives Obama better momentum heading into Virginia.